GeoEconomics Wargame
Developed with Geostrategic Intelligence Group
Europe’s Rare Earth Problem
China’s monopoly on rare earth metals impacts Europe.
Rising Dragon Crouching Bull is a pubic wargame co-created by Conducttr and consultancy, Geostrategic Intelligence Group. 40 players across four industries - solar panels, defence, batteries and semiconductors - must create a supply chain strategy to diversify supply or move to other technologies.
Scenario
It’s February 2025: the Ukraine war continues with Russian support from China, Iran, and North Korea. China’s increased backing of Russia has led to Western sanctions and Chinese retaliation against European car imports. Donald Trump’s 2024 re-election heightens tensions with NATO, pushing Europe to increase defense spending and potentially weakening U.S. alliances in Asia. Meanwhile, China leverages the situation to expand global influence, challenging U.S. financial dominance by promoting the yuan through its CIPS payment system.
Exercise
40 players across four industries—solar panels, defence, batteries, and semiconductors—must craft a supply chain strategy amid rising geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China.
Players must anticipate potential Western sanctions and navigate supply chain dependencies, with four possible futures depending on U.S.-China relations and their strategies regarding Avenenium and its alternatives.
Avenenium is a fictional rare earth metal.
The game lasted 3 days.
Players must anticipate potential Western sanctions and navigate supply chain dependencies, with four possible futures depending on U.S.-China relations and their strategies regarding Avenenium and its alternatives.
Avenenium is a fictional rare earth metal.
The game lasted 3 days.
Environment
Participants pre-registered for the wargame online and attended a brief introduction in Helsinki at the Geoeconomics Week conference.
The game was intended to be played in short “dips” of 15 minutes over the course of the conference.
Publishing, collaboration and negotiations were all conducted via Conducttr.
There was 1 person in Exercise Control from Conducttr and 1 person from Geostrategic Intelligence Group to provide expert analysis of activities.
The game was intended to be played in short “dips” of 15 minutes over the course of the conference.
Publishing, collaboration and negotiations were all conducted via Conducttr.
There was 1 person in Exercise Control from Conducttr and 1 person from Geostrategic Intelligence Group to provide expert analysis of activities.
Artificial Intelligence Beliefs
This exercise utilised our new beliefs system which tells the AI to create more nuanced content.
The diagram on the left shows how we positioned different cyber commentators (“influencers”) to give a spectrum of opinions based on belief combinations.
The diagram on the left shows how we positioned different cyber commentators (“influencers”) to give a spectrum of opinions based on belief combinations.
Player Advice
The slide on the left was available in-game and was shown through-out the game to remind players of the actions they could take.
